Debate 1/2013 What will change mainly in the world when you will be 50 years old? (my expectations)

28 thoughts on “Debate 1/2013 What will change mainly in the world when you will be 50 years old? (my expectations)

  1. The perspective of determining the appearance of the world in 25 years, is more difficult than it might seem at first glance. This is due to the fact that such a period is too long for quantitative predictions that are not able to estimate the economies of such notice, on the other hand not short enough to guess what might happen. Confirmation of this are publications The Next Decade and The Next 100 Years, A Forecast for the 21st Century by George Friedman in which the first is a viable and reliable publication, while the other can remind fantasy novel.
    Undoubtedly, as mentioned by A. Rokicki changing of global climat, can effect the world’s order in perspective of middle century. We hear that countries such as Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Germany, due to climate change might become a center of wine production in Europe. Of course this is only a minor guess, but as history shows (such as caloric theory) or publications even in respectable magazines such as The Times, after years proved to be completely ridiculous (in the early 20th century in the times stated that the rocket fuel is completely useless invention, there were more similar stories – statement about uselessness of computers for civil persons). These events teach us to treat with respect even the boldest hypotheses development of the world.
    Turning back to the economy, which mainly will be responsible for the appearance of the world in the future, we should consider whether the rate of growth of countries in the 20th century is to be repeated at 21. One of the main macroeconomic theory says that the pace of development of the country and the economy is related to the rate of population growth. Although this theory seems irrational (with a few exceptions such as China or India), taking into account the whole humanity, it worked well till now. Antiquity low birth rate – low technological development, the technological revolution – a much higher level of population growth. It seems to be a good question what is the maximum population of the world?
    In conclusion, it is very difficult to determine the outlook of the world during this period. Because of the multiplicity of factors (which we know it or not) that may affect the future vision of the world, all I can say is that it will look different than it is now. With regard to policy and decision making, it would be much easier to use a shorter time horizon.

  2. What will change mainly in the world when you will be 50 years old?

    This question for a first time, sound a little bit hard to answer because predicting the future seems to be very tricky area, many of us would like to know what will the world look like in 30 year perspective. If it would be better place for live or not? In my opinion the world in 2040 will be completely different from today’s world.

    In every area will be made a great progress mostly in science which will provide for us the cure f.e for cancer or aids, and many other deathly diseases. Also infrastructure and transport will no longer be the same, the trend of building cities to the clouds will raise, and in the beginning of 2040 in developed countries will be much more skyscrapers than nowadays. The raise of skyscrapers will cause completely new trend in transport, cars and buses will be driving on multiple level roads and also in the air.

    In politics anything wouldn’t change specially, but I think the world will be free of military conflicts because the societies and politics will realized the fact that it is highly unprofitable.

  3. Imagining the vision of any branch of technology or science is a demanding task, but creating the world’s outlook in 2050 is an impossible demand. Nevertheless, considering contemporary situation I’d stress a couple points that can be used as main questions the world needs answering to, if we want to think rationally about our situation.
    First of all, demography and social tasks. Life expectancy is increasing, because of medical care, raising spectrum of work possibilities and promotion of healthy life. Everyone started building their wealth and pursuing own career. Due to rise of egoistic needs birth rate among many European countries, including Poland, has drastically dropped and any argument targeting “feminine sense” doesn’t work. Many changes considering economic and work habits (both from employer and employee perspective) needs government attention. When we compare other developing cultures of East (China, India), Southern America (Brasil), Africa (Southern Africa) by that factor we can observe that European countries are driven mostly with ideological stagnation and consumptionism, whereas emerging economies have ambition to become counterforce at worlds free market. Such target will probably create decentered, multicultural world arranged by fusion of politics, personal interest and business. Taking into account that none serious ideas include dealing with social problems of those countries, we’ll observe radicalization between classes and even farther gap between statuses. Because of that migration will become an common episode in everyone’s life, loosening the connection between one’s identity and their country. People will become mainly individuals aware of their roots, but without strong feeling of nationality or duty. Parts of our life will more visibly become parts of life we do not have control of. Such environment will probably demand people, who choose and build their life rationally, by decision not any outer obligation. Perhaps it’s not an optimistic vision, but century where borders between technology, virtual reality, digitalization and diversity will need a human tightly connected to the present time.

  4. After 20 or 30 years, which is a powerful countries, which countries will be powerless? How much will the human life? U.S. scientists are looking for the answer to this and many similar, interesting conclusions reached as a result of long-term studies. In 2050, the world’s super power the United States, China and Russia will be. This is the third country outside Turkey, Germany, England and France, particularly in the economic field next to the most important European countries. Here is the world of 2050 …

    Air traffic!
    * 45 years later, 80 percent of the world will not be the problem of transportation. Creating a world-especially in the second. Each country will make an excellent subway system. Current ways, however, people continue to be used for a much better life. Air traffic seems a bit busy, but according to the current traffic is very comfortable. 7 out of 10 people will be flying Hatchback. However, thanks to a special system of air traffic is a problem he will not be out of the question. All journeys between cities, private planes to be done.

    Space Tourism

     In the future everything ready on human happiness. If the space is 2050 vacation paradise. Many countries in the world, will provide many important developments in space travel. Space travel will be prepared based on the financial situation of everyone. Especially having a holiday on the moon, is stated to be very popular at that time. In the resort towns in the world, but not as much as before, will still considerable interest. United States and Russia in space in 2020, is preparing to announce the project on. However, in 2020, to go into space, you have to be very rich. The people who want to go into space in 2050, now the money will be enough to pay only $ 200 thousand.

    Oil ends …

    * For the sake of wars in which the countries that do not have oil, will take its place in history in 2050. Instead the strongest candidate, boron, and is shown as elements of the space. Turkey, which is very rich in boron, of course, will take its place among the few countries in the world. Air cars, solar energy to work with.

    Insomnia Pill …

    * The Son of Man, 24 hours worth. Therefore, scientists who minimize sleep, even on this issue has accelerated. In 2050, the balance of the body that special pills. Who do not want to sleep, woke up from a nap feeling great to live in a pill. Of course, this is highly effective for many years for the development of a pellet required. According to scientists, this is of course a difficult pill to manufacture, but certainly not impossible.

    The world population of 10 billion

    * World population is stated to be around 10 billion in 2050. The rapid increase in population in countries in Asia and Africa,. Still the world’s most populous country, China’s population of 100 million, an increase of 400 billion to reach 1 billion. However, at that time, India is expected to be the world’s most populous country. In the absence of a great wrong, after 45 years, India with a population of 1 billion, 600 million, will be the world’s most populous country. Turkey’s population is expected to be 100 million.

    Technological great comfort houses …

    * In 2050, those living in homes that will control everything by talking. Thanks to the voice recognition system, opening the lamp living at home on television, listening to music, so you might have to cook dinner every event will have the opportunity to commands.

    Decrease the use of money

    * Thanks to technology, anyone can make a special shopping passwords and fingerprints. The use of money is no longer „None” will be less to be called. One type of these banks will be established and will take place at the beginning of each street. System requirement, all transactions concluded within a very short time, such as a few seconds.

    Ease of Learning chips will be provided

    * People placed his body through a system, facilitate learning. Special thanks to the chips, and many other difficult issue, especially foreign language easily learned. Scientists in this awesome technology, without having to wait 10 to 15 years after the year of 2050 be implement said.

  5. It’s such a difficult question! Now I’m 21, so I need 29 years to have 50. It’s more than I live on this planet. I’m still not sure what happen next year, so creating world fifty years after is very complicated task. Could you imagine this? There is a lot of possible ways of social living when I’ll be fifty. Probably my generation will be the last integrated one. I think that media create some image of people who make cursory relationships having some colleagues to party with, but not to share life and love. Bonds between members of society start to be quite laid-back. Maybe people socializated in this culture will be alone in the crowd or… maybe they won’t feel loneliness. In this situation my generation will be leading one. We won’t have a lot of children (unfortunately), but we will be committed to improving our local communities. Maybe our beloved kids will be spoilt. In this culture children make some rules.
    There is another option. Maybe society will be totally exhausted by technologies, Internet etc. and will create modern bonds between members. People will be improving world and trying to save the planet. It sounds like Utopia…
    There is also a different way of thinking… we know that nationalisms are rising in a lot of countries. I don’t want to predict that it can lead to some war. In Europe we have a lot of problems with emigration, unsuccessfully multikulti politics and Islam which is unwillingly accepted. I think it leads us to conflicts. Maybe it’ll be local, but appeared more often than now. This imagine is quite tragic, so I hope I’m not good in predictions.

  6. What will change mainly in the world for 30 years, that’s good and very important question. Especially because the decisions we make today will have a significant impact on the shape of the future world. Moreover that for 30 years my generation will rule the world. Wrong decisions that take politicians today, we will improve in the future, to take care of the welfare of our children or maybe grandchildren.

    I think that in debate should be taken three most important issues: demographic, climatic and new technology. First problem it’s demographics. Statistics are relentless. European societies are dying, women give birth to less and less children. While in Europe there is a rapid decline in population, growing a number of people in Asia and Africa. Experts estimate that by 2050 the worldwide population will grow to 9 billion. Also the life lengthen will expectancy. Thanks to new technologies, life will be easier. Better drugs, modern medical equipment will improve the quality of life and allow to fight with hitherto incurable diseases. I believe that with the development of technology, people will be able to travel faster and cheaper around the world. As we can see language barriers will disappear. I dream that, thanks to new inventions flights into space become more common
    .
    Second problem is climate change. Experts are reporting that goes climate warming. Increases the level of the oceans and seas. We need to take better care of our environment. But we have to take care of the environment consciously, in order to avoid manipulation through a large concerns.

    Humanity will have to face many challenges but I hope that world change for the better. But as is usually the case, new technologies may bring new problems which we aren’t aware now.

  7. Being not a Nostradamus or any prophet causes difficulties in creation a vision of a World in 30 years. But of course, I know how I want, or rather expect, World to look like. Technology is the first issue which comes to my mind. It will transform the science, environment and human relations. I am expecting big step in medicine for sure and also in science, with that knowledge as we gained and gain in the future, and tools which we can use, science can only move forward, finding new solutions and implementing them into live. I am not expecting, and what is more, I do not want science to find a cure for longevity, humankind does not need that. Because, repeating after polish writer Stanisław Lem: Ludzie nie pragną nieśmiertelności – podjąłem po chwili. – Nie chcą tylko, po prostu, umierać. Chcą żyć (..). Chcą czuć ziemię pod nogami, widzieć chmury nad głową, kochać innych ludzi, być z nimi i myśleć o tym. Nic więcej. (in: Dzienniki Gwiazdowe). This is how I want World in 30 years look like – close to people and nature. New communication networks and new model of relationships – for the distance, based on internet, with a lack of direct contact – is very worrisome. I do not want my future to look this way, unfortunately, this is the trend in communication process. Having a hundreds of virtual “friend” not reflects to reality, courage to proclaim views and criticize in web, not translates into real life. The sad version of my vision would imply the progressive loss of interpersonal relationships, and existence based only on consumption, like in Brave New World written by Aldous Huxley. That danger exists somewhere in my mind, but anyway the version which is more optimistic and more probable contains human relations still mostly based on traditional model. Innovations in industry, science, big changes in geopolitics – especially rise of Islam impact (what for me is not so optimistic) – these are the most important changes which I can predict in huge shortcut.

  8. It’s hard for me to really believe that the world can change so much in such a relatively short time, but it seems that this how will be.
    Importance of problem of natural resources will grow more and more. With increase in population will increase significantly the demand for fresh water.
    There will be even greater depletion of resources than it is already happening, Hopefully, research of alternative energy sources bring more widespread effects. More ecological methods might replace coal and oil. In this way it can begin to improve the worlds ecosystem.
    The big question is our security in the future. People around the worlds are concerned about terrorism. What place and role will it has in 30 years? I’m afraid that war against terror will bring more and more surveillance and will limit our privacy. I imagine that every move can be monitored and controlled by governments and large companies.
    My concerns also relate to the areas of politics and ideology. Looking at today’s interest in the nationalism and support for the right of young people may result in symptoms of aggression.
    We can be sure that the game will comprise two opposing trends that will go in parallel. One is to further, deeper integration of Europe, and thus greater homogenization of culture. Second result of the integration and ease of access to information and culture can induce a sense of danger and return the desire to preserve their national identity, fostering diversity.
    Also wondering is the progress of medicine. In the face of expanding the messages it is possible that during those decades now incurable diseases will be harmless to us? Maybe someone will invent a cure for cancer, the most mortal disease of Europe to which we are now without strong. Another issue is whether the medicine will be in addition to prolonging the life quality of people’s lives to live into an advanced age, but also improve the physical and mental fitness.

  9. Have you ever imagined yourself being 50 years old? When I read the title of debate I tried, and, to be honest, I could not! While it was quite easy to plan some private life’s scenarious or figure out what changes brings time for physicality it is unpredictable how will look the world in 30 years. But what will change the world – I can try to guess.
    First of all technical progress. As an example I can use the Industrial Revolution which made Great Britain a world power, let the country to develop so fast as no other in the world, and gives a lot of advantages, let to dominate among other things colonialism. The technical development is getting faster. 10 years ago, were you be albe to imagine how gonna tv sets or mobile phones look like today? I dont think so! It is even more difficult to predict what technical staff will be available in next 30 years. And talking more about world situation the techcial progress will have a great influence for military issuses, also development of information society.
    Talking about the society, todays trends in Wester Europe are pro tolerancy and egality, the try to be opened. But there are some threats above them. Demography – native societie are aging and diminishing, immigrants are becoming larger number of all citizens. In USA it is easier because hispanic and african-americans assimilate there, but whats about Europe? Demographic problems will occur also in Japan, and central west Europe.
    Africa and Idia will have problem caused by demography too. Youth and poverty make political regimes less stabile.
    I agree with A.Rokicki, climate can also change and bring a lot of chaos to the world’s situation.

  10. It is very hard to say what will change in the world in 30 years. I really want that all changes will do our world better. But life is brutal and sometimes the life goes not the way we want.

    New strongest economy in the world will be China, which will overtake the U.S., but according to many experts, the Middle Kingdom is a leader soon. “Twenty-first century will be the century of Asia “ said many experts.

    In my opinion the world will be totally diffrent. The new technology will make life easier and maybe the new best friend of a man will be not a dog but a robot which will help him in many situations.

    Maybe the European Union will not survive as a organisation but some other one will quickly replace it. And if in 2050 European Union will still be It will be a good sign for Europe that it is a strong continent that will never give up and never forget about his initial assumptions.
    If I am thinking about Poland . It is really hard to know how big and how strong will Poland be. Unfortunately Smolensk tragedy will still be the main topic on a politic stage.
    In my opinion the limits of the countries will be the same as now.

    I hope that medicine will make a huge step into the future to help people in many severe illnesses.

    If I am thinking about the future I hope that people wil be more aware of ecology. Despite the fact that global warming may change our climate dramatically. I hope that in this 30 years we as hole population will do our best to save the world for a future generations.

  11. Nowadays the changes in the present world are rapid and unpredictable. We are living in the Internet era and the mportance of this relatively new medium will be still growing. We can see this now – more and more information is stored in „clouds” to which single human being is almost always connected. While the internet will be gaining in importance, the law should follow those changes, especially when we are atalking about securing the privacy. It is big issue nowadays and in my opinion the law system doesn’t secure it.
    Another crucial thing to consider is demography. Rapid changes of lifestyle which are connected with fast life, changed the birth rate all over the Europe. Countries opened their borders for immigrants. The process was uncontrolled and today this particular case is a big problem in West. Unfortunately new guests didn’t only worked and tranferred their payments to the families abroad, but instead they draw their families together. In Great Britain we have still growing muslim minority. Some demographic research say that their population might reach 30% in total in 2030 because of the huge birth rate.
    Next important issue is developing of local collective security systems. In my opinion their presence will be also visible in next couple of decades. Of course we have a globalisation but who knows how much longer it will take for this process to slow down and maybe start to withdraw. Globalisation is strongly connected with a power of America. When it is weak then it’s power to influence other countries slows down too. In my opinion the new clash of power is rising. China is stronger than ever before. Both USA and China are testing theirselfs. USA is trying to built the alliance system which will surround Chinese and they are paying the debt twice – buying the american debentures (which makes America more vulnerable for Chinese soft power) and signing the loan and trade treaties with Mexico, Canada and other Latin states.

    I’m sure that whatever will future bring we will know it first thanks to the new technologies.

  12. When I was 50, around 25 years later. The future of the world birth rates will change a lot. Northern Europeans have started having more babies. Britain and France are now projecting steady population growth through the middle of the century. In North America, the trends are similar. According to United Nations projections, around 2050, The number of newborns America and China may be similar. he population of the world’s current demographic colossus will be shrinking. And China is but one particularly sharp example of a widespread fall in birthrates that is occurring across most of the developing world, including much of Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. The most special exception is sub-Saharan Africa. At that time, it has a population of perhaps only one-third now.
    And in the future. The decline of Muslim birthrates is a global phenomenon. According to United Nations data, that Arab birthrates are falling fast, and that the number of births among women under the age of 20 is dropping even more sharply.
    Some immigrant fertility rates will be reduced.These sharp reductions in fertility among some immigrants reflect important cultural shifts, which include universal female education, rising living standards, the inculcation of local mores, and widespread availability of contraception.
    Anyway, in the future, demographic change is the biggest change.

  13. Surely the future is one of these things we have little influence on. To answer the question how different will the world be in 25 years (I’ll be 50 years old then) I would need to be a great foreteller. Unfortunately, my previous attempts at foreseeing the future weren’t successful. When I got my place at university (I study specialized translations) I was determined to follow a career of translator of specialized texts, but in the meantime Google invented Google Glass;) Nevertheless, I might be more successful at foreseeing the future on a global scale.

    To start with, I will deal with these elements of international macro-environment that seem to be the key ones in our contemporary perspective. These are not only single states such as the USA or China, or groups of states such as EU, BRICS or OPEC, but also phenomena such as global warming, or processes – ageing populations and integration of minorities or immigrants. All these are tangled with each other and cannot be treated separately in the context of our massive global village, as Marshall McLuhan would call our global community. Having said that, I could unfold my forecast for the next 25 years in any point of the above mentioned web, but as I am Polish I would like to start with the EU as geographically the closest key element of our global maze.

    What will be the condition of EU in 25 years? This prediction is based mostly on common sense. I believe that the success of EU project lies deeply at the heart of all membership countries as every one of them invested already an enormous amount of time and money into integration of the Community. Second of all, only by sticking together they can form a balancing power for other big fishes like the USA, BRICS or OPEC in terms of economic strength. Although I don’t want to underestimate the position of the EU or countries like Germany, France or UK in the global politics, the truth is that no single EU member is comparable with other global powers when taken into account on its own. Therefore my prediction is that European integration processes will develop at a faster pace than to date. My guess is that it will be possible through promotion of the need for more unanimous decision taking and for deeper feeling of responsibility of each member state for the overall condition of the Union.

    Next big player on our global chess is the USA, which is also very much concerned about the EU’s future. It is always better to have the overseas markets as strong as possible to have someone to trade with As it should already be apparent, I believe that the majority of relationships between countries and multinational organizations is driven by economic motivations. In other words, every action taken by a representative of a state or organization aims at ensuring better political-financial standing of their community, as it is conditio sine qua non of its capacity to provide its members both with staple means and sophisticated tools allowing for development. Anyway, a less favourable economic condition of the USA does not imply that it will stop pulling the string in this multinational play staged before our eyes every day. It only gives a clue that the USA must have become more entangled, or in other words more dependent on the other economic powers, i.e. in order to mitigate the consequences of the 2008 crisis it had to borrow lump sums, mainly from China. Therefore the relations between the USA and its lenders will tighten even more and the USA will be increasingly interested in stable growth of its most promising potential trading partners. In consequence, the USA is most interested in the growth of each member of the BRICS group. It cannot go unnoticed that the term itself was coined in 2001 by Jim O’Neill, who at that time was an employee of an American corporation – Goldman Sachs. Apart from bringing these countries together, the USA deliberately exerts a heavy impact on the Middle East in search for the most wanted of all natural resourced, i.e. oil. Many believe that the 2003 invasion of Iraq as well as the 2011 Libyan civil war were motivated by oil imperialism of the US. There certainly is a grain of truth in this theory. In 25 years the USA will still be looking at the Middle East and OPEC from a very close distance, but it will get harder for them to maintain the stability of this region, as it is already deeply affected in the aftermath of the previous interference.
    Last but not least I would like to underline that crucial changes are to be seen in the scope of global warming, ageing of some populations and integration of immigrants. First of all, global warming has been neglected due to its economic inconvenience, i.e. taking serious steps aiming at reducing the development of this negative phenomenon requires some changes in the financial strategy which would be very costly for these economies which propel the climate change to the greatest extent – the USA and all non-Annex I countries to Kyoto Protocol. Therefore, climate change, as an unavoidable result of the reckless economics, will reach a terrifying stage of development in 25 years. Weather conditions have already become very extreme and some areas are disappearing under rising water levels. Hopefully, we will learn how to use modern technologies how to protects ourselves against what comes next in terms of climate change.

    Taking into account ageing populations and integration of immigrants, I believe that societies and their individual members will need to learn how to TOLERATE and RESPECT one another. It is an indispensable lesson that each player of the global chess should take, and this should be done much sooner than in 25 years. It is common knowledge that our societies are ageing and are getting more and more diversified internally. Now the population of the world needs to learn how to handle its changing micro- and macrostructure. My prediction for the next 25 years is that either people will start paying enough attention to the problems of ageing and integration of older people and immigrant in the society or the lack of progress in this field will trigger clashes between the opposing groups – young and old, natives and immigrants.

    To sum up, there are some essential decisions that contemporary policy makers need to take in order to divert the course of action towards the happy end. I strongly believe that more and more will depend on the conduct of individuals, i.e. members of societies or citizens. They should not get overwhelmed by what I’ve just written above. It might seem that it’s all about the great mechanisms, but these do always have their small rack and pinions, don’t they?

  14. In fact, I should write what I expect. In a way, it cannot be done as „to expect” binds for me with an emotional stance, meaning – what are my hopes and dreams, which is not the case. I would rather say that here is my prediction – you see, prediction may be true and may not be true.
    I think that the world is constantly changing and maybe the topic is even too broad.
    With modern technology, the world seems to develop really fast. However, it is almost thirty years, which is a big period of time and small at the same time – the vicinity of Fukushima, for example, would probably still be contaminated in next 30 years.
    With high probability, European societies will be dying out. There is a chance that Poland becomes more multinational, it can transform in a kind of melting pot, as Great Britain once did. One may assume that Turkey will need a new space to develop, some of Turkish people will surely come to Poland and other European countries, which in fact has already happened in case of Germany.
    It seems that for Europeans religion is a diminishing value. Such attitude can be seen not only in Poland. Maybe it is due to a faith crisis or the cause is that people live fast and have less time for spiritual development. Well, in my opinion people will be turning their backs to religion or at least to Catholic Church, seeing what is happening.
    Some people claim that we may run out of some resources and even now we have to consider a new way of living. I have heard that more and more people respond to the slogan „Go vegan!” and declare their will to live ecologically. Now it is one of many trends but it has became extremely powerful since its establishment.
    I have seen that people are very optimistic about EU. I am not because you can see that many European citizens become hostile towards that institution which is coping with many problems, such as crises and members acting carelessly like urchins, bad-tempered children, such as Greece does. What is more, in some cases the interests of member countries may not be similar.
    If it comes to presumptions concerning the whole world, I harbour some doubts if United States would be able to maintain its supremacy. They act often with audacity and unnecessary bravado, what meets no approval of other lands. I think that the leaders may be Asian countries or one of completely unexpected dark horses. At the same time I fear that there comes an unexpected crisis of the spiritual matter. People are concentrated on their goals, they want to live in a luxury and are going to sacrifice everything to achieve it. Meanwhile, their emotional and inner needs are being reduced, their frustration and solitude grow. More and more people are developing mental illnesses and this is what I am anxious about – that we, as people, may become the victims of our insatiable hunger for possession.

  15. When I was 50, around 25 years later. The future of the world birth rates will change a lot. Northern Europeans have started having more babies. Britain and France are now projecting steady population growth through the middle of the century. In North America, the trends are similar. According to United Nations projections, around 2050, The number of newborns America and China may be similar. he population of the world’s current demographic colossus will be shrinking. And China is but one particularly sharp example of a widespread fall in birthrates that is occurring across most of the developing world, including much of Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. The most special exception is sub-Saharan Africa. At that time, it has a population of perhaps only one-third now.

    And in the future. The decline of Muslim birthrates is a global phenomenon. According to United Nations data, that Arab birthrates are falling fast, and that the number of births among women under the age of 20 is dropping even more sharply.

    Some immigrant fertility rates will be reduced.These sharp reductions in fertility among some immigrants reflect important cultural shifts, which include universal female education, rising living standards, the inculcation of local mores, and widespread availability of contraception.

    Anyway, in the future, demographic change is the biggest change.

  16. Thinking about the future of the world is for me strongly connected with thinking about Poland’s future. It is not surprising for this is my homeland, the place where my family lives and the place where I would like to live in the future. However, in order to live here, I need to see that our country offers some potential in terms of labour market, social care and various factors that will contribute to our self-development and improve our way of living. Unfortunately the ”potential” that I mentioned is not clearly visible at the moment. Unemployment rate is becoming higher and higher, there are still many substantial problems regarding medical care, social services, but also other areas e.g. infrastructure. In order to tackle these difficulties we need new people in politics, people who will abolish the ”old players” who ran out of the ideas how to help this country. Therefore, I hope and expect that in the future the posts’ of ministers and politics will be held by young but educated and creative people, who will assure Poland’s well-being on the European scene. I also hope that Poland’s cooperation with EU will not slow down and that it will develop effectively. The investments and money from European funds are already visible, and in the future I would like Poles to make even better use of them. To act creatively by e.g. supporting science and education. Polish society is ageing and that is indeed an enormous problem; therefore something must be done to increase the birth rate and to reduce emigration rate . I hope that in the future Poland will be the place where new urban centers will be created, not only Warsaw, Poznań and Kraków and few others as it is today. I focused mainly on Poland and things that I hope will improve, but certainly the situation of the future world cannot be left without any comment. I have to agree with some expectations mentioned above in this discussion. Undoubtedly China, the Pacific region and other developing countries will gain more and more power and consequently they will have enormous impact on political and economical situation of the world. Although I optimistically claim that European Union will successfully continue its mission – eventually it is Europe’s and Poland’s best option – and that it will be a ”real union” of independent, but also politically united countries, I have to admit that accordingly to present prognoses Europe and United States will gradually lose power. And here we have the two sides: Europe together with US, and Asia with enormous population and area, new technologies and economic potential. What will happen with Africa? Which side will make use of e.g. its natural resources? What will happen with Russia which is somewhat in between? I am sure that due to booming Asian economy and aging Europe some huge changes will start. Maybe not in 25 years, but…who knows?

  17. What will change in the next 29 years? That’s a good question. Actually it is hard to predict. Nowadays everything change in frantic pace. Let’s just look on the last 20 years. First of all technology has changed. In 90’s it was unusual to have a computer (I’m not even say about Internet…it was nearly inaccessible). That situation has changed in next century. The same was with mobile phones. So I think that in the next 29 years technology will change mainly. Even in one year we’ve got a number of new mobile phones, tablets, iPhones, computers etc. with a huge numbers of applications and possibilities. The best confirmation of this process is new project of Google named Google Glass. Project is introduced on Youtube (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JSnB06um5r4). As we can see technology progress is amazing, but also terrifying.
    Moreover behavior of the next generations will change. It starts from the fashion and ends on culture. We are so different from our parents and we see how kids nowadays are different from us. And what is more I think that it is because of… technology. We couldn’t even dream about our own mobile phone at the age of 8. Now kids are given cell phones, tablets etc. (or even earlier). They have unlimited access to the Internet and television so they observe behavior of celebrities (that are often wrong).
    Actually it’s hard to say what will mainly change in the next 30 years. In my opinion everything will change more or less: not only technology and behavior, but also population, politics, education, culture, thinking about possibilities etc.

  18. European Union and Future

    In 2030, I will be 50 years old man so maybe I am the oldest students here. Since I am very interesting in history and politics I like to watch news, read newspaper and pay attention to expert’s analysis.

    I observed a few events but I read about a lot of events had changed the political world, especially when I heard when I was a little boy the word “ Soviet “ , and how much stories told about conspiracies how the USA succeed to destroyed the communist system.
    Since the cold war began the money, economic and relationships became the new power. I believe that powerful country that who has strong economy, knowledge and good influence on others.
    Nowadays, the European Union has more influence on the world, for example when USA and Britain wanted to send the reveals in Syria army supplies and EU was against this idea they could not do anything. However, United States still has influence on some European countries but in the near future this influence will disappear.
    I predict that the European Union shape will be change in the next decade some countries will leave and the union will become more powerful. It is simple some countries who think that the EU makes them weak, like Britain who is nowadays waiting for vote to leave the union. On the other hand the EU might rid of some countries like Greece.
    If the EU countries have a clever plans and determination to achieve their goals I have no doubts they will become the new power.

  19. It is often assumed, that China (or the whole south-east Asian region) will be the world’s main economic superpower within the next few decades, and that Europe and northern America will only play a minor role in world politics and trade; however this may be a bit shortsighted. Although it is true that China has a high economic growth rate today and a huge potential for development (which can also be attributed to the fact that they still have a lot of catching up to do, to reach western developmental and industrial standards), it is by no means certain that this growth can be maintained in the long run. China already has massive environmental problems, rivers are polluted, the air in some of the bigger cities is so toxic that the people have to wear face masks, and at this point most of the inhabitants don’t even have a car yet. With further economic growth the pollution will only get worse. While Europe has already shifted their energy strategy towards green energy or nuclear power, China still relies mainly on coal for energy production. Another problem for the Chinese is there corrupt and authoritarian government, which certainly doesn’t create the entrepreneurial spirit present in the USA or (to some degree) Europe. Most of the patents and inventions are still coming from the western societies and it doesn’t look like that’s going to change anytime soon, at least not unless China becomes a democratic state, which probably won’t happen within the next 30 years. Chinas economic success is driven by their relatively cheap labor force, while most high-tech products are still manufactured by western companies. Finally the Chinese economic relies heavily on exports, and most of their exports go, of course, to Europe and northern America. An economic decline of these regions would naturally result in less Chinese exports and possibly even an economic crisis in China.
    Tl;dr: it is by no means certain that China will become the world’s biggest economic superpower, as they also face a lot of problems.

  20. European Union and Future

    In 2030, I will be 50 years old man so maybe I am the oldest students here. Since I am very interesting in history and politics I like to watch news, read newspaper and pay attention to expert’s analysis.

    I observed a few events but I read about a lot of events had changed the political world, especially when I heard when I was a little boy the word “ Soviet “ , and how much stories told about conspiracies how the USA succeed to destroyed the communist system.

    Since the cold war began the money, economic and relationships became the new power. I believe that powerful country that who has strong economy, knowledge and good influence on others.

    Nowadays, the European Union has more influence on the world, for example when USA and Britain wanted to send the reveals in Syria army supplies and EU was against this idea they could not do anything. However, United States still has influence on some European countries but in the near future this influence will disappear.

    I predict that the European Union shape will be change in the next decade some countries will leave and the union will become more powerful. It is simple some countries who think that the EU makes them weak, like Britain who is nowadays waiting for vote to leave the union. On the other hand the EU might rid of some countries like Greece.

    If the EU countries have a clever plans and determination to achieve their goals I have no doubts they will become the new power.

  21. European Union and Future

    In 2030, I will be 50 years old man so maybe I am the oldest students here. Since I am very interesting in history and politics I like to watch news, read newspaper and pay attention to expert’s analysis.

    I observed a few events but I read about a lot of events had changed the political world, especially when I heard when I was a little boy the word “ Soviet “ , and how much stories told about conspiracies how the USA succeed to destroyed the communist system.

    Since the cold war began the money, economic and relationships became the new power. I believe that powerful country that who has strong economy, knowledge and good influence on others.

    Nowadays, the European Union has more influence on the world, for example when USA and Britain wanted to send the reveals in Syria army supplies and EU was against this idea they could not do anything. However, United States still has influence on some European countries but in the near future this influence will disappear.

    I predict that the European Union shape will be change in the next decade some countries will leave and the union will become more powerful. It is simple some countries who think that the EU makes them weak, like Britain who is nowadays waiting for vote to leave the union. On the other hand the EU might rid of some countries like Greece.

    If the EU countries have a clever plans and determination to achieve their goals I have no doubts they will become the new power.

  22. Generally this topic is quite attractive. What would happen in the following 30 years? What we would become? How the world would go to like?
    What’s the structure of the world? Which countries would lead the world? Where are the economic centers?
    What kind of high technology we would use? How about our mobile phone, laptop and transport? How about the weather? And the wild animals?
    Fristly, for us, for sure we would get older, around 50 or more years old. We would become the experienced person for our job and life. Not green hand any more, from the curious to adapt to the life. Probably we would treat everything granted. As the change happened around us gradually. So I guess would become surprised when we stop our step, look around and compare the differences.
    We have EU, BRICS and so on now. So I guess we would get more powerful organizations like these. As a lot of countries which had the colonial history before, would catch up new opportunity to develop themselves. So we have North American, EU, BRICS, and the other organization among the whole world. So there would be multipole of the economics , technology or even the entertainment.
    Same time the Asian country, especially China and others would use their resources, knowledge and wisdom to take a significant role of majority of the area.
    For the high technology, our mobile phone or laptop would have almost the functions which we use. And the voice recognise system would be highly develop, so we would talk to the machine, and the system would run itself. Also for the transport, I guess robot would be very where. We do not need to drive the car, it would run automatically and avoid the accident.
    However, as the highly develop world, I guess there would be some parts missing in our life. As we do not need to go out or communicate to the people to finish your task to leave, the distance between people would become further. And maybe more wild animal would face extinct if we do not care about them while the economics develops.
    Wish the same time of developing the world, we could develop our spirit as well. And all the species, countries and organisations would live in one developed and kindly world.🙂

  23. Thinking about future is well known for everyone. Every night, before we go sleep, we think about future. About things to do the next day or about our holiday plans. Sometimes we imagine future of our country and the world. Where? In important places like museums or during the national events.

    Of course, predicting the situation of the world in 2050 (when I will be 50 years old) may be difficult. Will we still have springs? Will there be new countries? Will world be a safe place? Answers to these questions aren’t easy. But let’s try think about them.

    In my opinion, global warming may change our climate dramatically. Some specialists say that we will have only two seasons of year – summer and winter. This huge change can bring some damages, for example health problems or destroyed ecosystem. On the other side, more interesting aspect for me is geopolitical situation. For sure, on the map of world will exist new countries and some will disappear. History tells that often when two nations fight against each other it changes theirs territories. Unfortunately, cruel wars can also bring reduction of population. What is more, a lot of countries are thinking today about family policy. It is connected with the fact, that world is getting older and older. But we have few chances that can give us a change for better. What it can be? I think that one of the thing is becoming Turkey a member of the European Union – Turkish people will settle down in European countries like Poland and it is a good solution that can sort out the problem.

    How about… historical monuments? Will we be able to care about them? Will foreign tourists visit such important places in Poland like Oświęcim or Westerplatte? Will our government not forget about Polish historical education? I hope that young people will have a good knowledge sources of their relatives life.

    My expectations are also focused on condition of each continent. The most important for me is Africa as I am curious about its position in the future. I believe that it won’t be as poor as now it is and in 2050 we could say that African people and their economic situation are close to Europeans.

  24. As I am about to start this debate, I will describe some of my observations in this post. Since the topic is on the picture of the world around 2040, the subject should be started from looking at the past. If we have to write about future, we must notice that future is result of past.
    As it was told on the lecture, the Pacific region is about to become a economical „center of the World” and at that point itshould be noticed that influence of american economy compared with economy of some asian countries as China is decreasing. From that point of view we can ask where will Europe be in this new Worl’ s order. If we are about to answer, we must consider problems that Europe must handle. The first thing is that this continent includes many regions which are different from each other is sense of language, culture and habit. However, in situation that I described above, only unified economical and political force can play important role. This „unificaton” is the subject of European Union, but inside this organism it is seen how the way of perception of people from another country influences on some political aspect. We have old EU 15 countries and ex – comunistic coutries as Poland. The way how countries as Poland will be seen by British or French will play the most important role in this proces, because it will have the main influence in proces of building important economical and political force in Europe. Although countries of Central Europe have the mark of comunism printed in mentality, it is changing rapidly during to integration of those countries in European Union. I am representative of first generation born after east block collapsed (1990). I must truly say that I don’t know what does comunism really mean since I’ ve never lived in comunistic country. From my point of view, most countries of Central Europe are parts of West European Cultural Region that have its origin from culture of Latin Church in medival ages and the sooner we (West Europeans and Central Europeans) understand what does it really mean, the bigger role will our Continent play in new World’s order that is creating after Soviet Block collapsed. It also should be noted that In our times, the cultural exchange and influence of cultural regions on one another is the biggest in historical times, so the game is not only about economy and pollitics – it is about how big influence will our culture have on what will born from this cultural impact.

    1. First of all, I partially agree with you in some points like the European Union become more and more stronger and has more influence on the world or at least part of it.

      Secondly, you have pointed out some interesting things like, what is in common between European people? Culture, language or what. But I can’t agree they don’t have same habit.
      Actually European have more in common than other countries are neighbour, especially how they appreciate time, work and education.
      However, if I were you I wouldn’t depend too much on Britain or Germany especially Britain because the British government is waiting for voting to leave the European Union and maybe they will success in that.
      I reckon the best way to EU to be more stronger and powerful is follow intelligent plans which are good enough to change the European Union image from an union is following USA in every decision to an independent union.

  25. When I was 50 years old, about 30 years later. I guess after 30 years humans have probably moved to the moon. Just kidding, but it might happen.
    After 30 years, the EU will gradually by a complex state of attitudes in politics away from United States, conflict with the interests of the United States and European Union will be gradually deepened, reflection and questioning United States political culture trend will begin to appear. Will further accelerate the process of European integration, economic growth will drive the European Union in the political independence and the pursuit of control of the NATO-led. Independence of EU military capability development will be the focus of the next 30 years. While the EU and the United States still keeps an association, but media will be guided by the interests of the European Union and the United States potentially and indirectly against

    30 years later, the United States will not be able to maintain political and economic dominance in the world. Primary problems in the finance sector. Asian economic growth will be restrictions US dollars unfair predatory between substantive and constraints, the new rules will enable the United States financial revenues plunged controllable, strong military capabilities will become the U.S only effective means to maintain hegemony. 30 years later, frequently worldwide military conflict continued, and by the United States launched the promotion form.
    Strong military force will be the United States after a decade, the only effective means to maintain hegemony.
    After 30 years, United States will be the main promoter of world’s military conflict.

    1. In vision of Rui Yan „Chineese Eagle is flying high” because when two person are fighting the third is the winner. However I must dissagree, because in my opinion described on top (maybe it should be more clear) Europe includes so different regions that there is little chance for Europe to speak with unified voice. It would be good for China watching EU and USA fighting in political scene, Chineese people would be happy when hear critical voice of USA political thinking, but in fact countries in EU can’t even agree on common currency, and economical crisis hit them in brutal way. It is true that Asian economies are to growth faster and there is little chance that EU will play as big role as you described, since there is little chance of such a big integration you wrote about. We must also say that we have growth of muslim population in Europe, so it is very difficult to say what will be effect of it. What cultural difference will it bring to us. What changes of law will be present when muslims will have big number of representatives in European goverments. It is only part of big problems that may have anormous influence on situation in 2040. It is big chance that China will gain hegemony, but it would be not so easy to hold it since other big powers will be still very strong.

      1. I think the world in 50 years will be different than now. Technical development is proceeding so the world in 2063 will be healthier. Now we have the first step of this „ecological revolution”. Developed countries modernize power stations, rubbish refineries and generally try to be more eco. The European Union is changing the law and going to eliminate problems with CO2 and global warming. In Europe we could have changes connected with demography, aging and poor economy. Higher immigration rates in the future would be a serious problem for Europe, it’s culture and history. 20 years ago we had two countries with real potential. Now, aside from USA and Russia we have new pretenders with stable economy, young society and ambitious governments. The World is changing. It’s difficult to predict the future. But we can imagine it, according to data and amylases. I expect that political situation in the world will be stable. It is important to feel safe, because only in stable conditions having and upbringing children is possible. When I am 50-60 years old, I want to have a happy family with a lot of grandchildren. I’m an optimist and I think it is possible. But of course, every nation needs to have a stable geopolitical situation. In my opinion there might be the „problem” with countries like North Korea and Iran. Also the regions of Middle East with Israel, Palestine or some part of Africa could be unstable. Additionally, we can’t forget about terrorism organizations like Al-Kaida. Its members are absolutely fanatics, who can die for religion. It could be one of the worst problems in the future. NATO and United Nations role should be preserved. Without these organizations, worldwide politics could be in trouble. We have 193 countries in the world, it is necessary to have some organizations, which are working for peace. It will be nice to spend retirement in peaceful world.

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